Publications

Journal Publications:

YEAR PAPER STATUS
2023 Lazin, R., Shen, X., Moges, S. and Anagnostou, E., 2023. The role of Renaissance dam in reducing hydrological extremes in the Upper Blue Nile Basin: Current and future climate scenarios. Journal of Hydrology, 616, p.128753. Published
2023 Lala, J., Regassa, M. D., Zhang, Y., You, L., & Block, P. (2023). Incorporating Seasonality into an Agroeconomic Model of Ethiopia. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, 149(2), 05022018. Published
2023 Yang, M.; Wang, G.: Wu, S.; Block, P.; Lazin, R.; Alexander S.; Lala, J.; et al. “Seasonal prediction of crop yields in Ethiopia using an analog approach.” Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 331 (2023): 109347. Published
2022 Lala, J., Lee, D., Bazo, J. and Block, P., 2022. Evaluating prospects for subseasonal-to-seasonal forecast-based anticipatory action from a global perspective. Weather and Climate Extremes, 38, p.100510. Published
2022 Atsbeha, E.; Holzer E.; Anagnostou, E.; Block, P.; Alexander S.; Negatu, S.; Kirksey, K. “Probability Games, Workshops, and the Social World of International Science Communication.” Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 103, no. 8 (2022): E1747-E1761. Published
2022 Rigler, G.; Dokou, Z.; Khadim, F.K.; Sinshaw, B.G.; Eshete, D.G.; Aseres, M.; Amera, W.; Zhou, W.; Wang, X.; Moges, M.; Azage, M.; Li, B.; Holzer, E.; Tilahun, S.; Bagtzoglou, A.; Anagnostou, E. Citizen Science and the Sustainable Development Goals: Building Social and Technical Capacity through Data Collection in the Upper Blue Nile Basin, Ethiopia. Sustainability 2022, 14, 3647. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14063647 Published
2022 Musayev, S.; Mellor, J.; Walsh, T.; Anagnostou, E. Application of Agent-Based Modeling in Agricultural Productivity in Rural Area of Bahir Dar, Ethiopia. Forecasting 2022. https://doi.org/10.3390/su13094936 Published
2022 Haider, M.R., Peña, M. and Anagnostou, E., 2022. Bias Correction of Mixed Distributions of Temperature with Strong Diurnal Signal. Weather and Forecasting. https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-21-0108.1 Published
2022 Negatu, S., Holzer, E. Kirksey, K. and Atsbeha, E. Technology transfer and everyday life among smallholder farmers: Notes on the small inconveniences that slow the transition to industrial agriculture in Ethiopia. Perspectives on Global Development and Technology 21, no. 1 (2022): 7-26. Published
2021 Musayev, S.; Mellor, J.; Walsh, T.; Anagnostou, E. Development of an Agent-Based Model for Weather Forecast Information Exchange in Rural Area of Bahir Dar, Ethiopia. Sustainability 2021, 13, 4936. https://doi.org/10.3390/su13094936 Published
2021 Lala, J., Bazo, J., Anand, V., & Block, P. (2021). Optimizing forecast-based actions for extreme rainfall events. Climate Risk Management, 34, 100374. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2021.100374 Published
2021 Gao, S., Li, Z., Chen, M., Lin, P., Hong, Z., Allen, D., … & Hong, Y. (2021). Spatiotemporal variability of global river extent and the natural driving factors revealed by decades of Landsat observations, GRACE gravimetry observations, and land surface model simulations. Remote Sensing of Environment, 267, 112725. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2021.112725 Published
2021 Alexander, S., Yang, G., Addisu, G., & Block, P. (2021). Forecast-informed reservoir operations to guide hydropower and agriculture allocations in the Blue Nile basin, Ethiopia. International Journal of Water Resources Development, 37(2), 208-233. https://doi.org/10.1080/07900627.2020.1745159 Published
2021 Xie, Hua; You, Liangzhi; Dile, Yihun T.; Worqlul, Abeyou W.; Bizimana, Jean Claude; et al. 2021. Mapping development potential of dry-season small-scale irrigation in Sub-Saharan African countries under joint biophysical and economic constraints: An agent-based modeling approach with an application to Ethiopia. Agricultural Systems 186 (January 2021): 102987. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2020.102987. Published
2021 Li, Z., Tang, G., Hong, Z., Chen, M., Gao, S., Kirstetter, P., … & Hong, Y. (2021). Two-decades of GPM IMERG early and final run products intercomparison: Similarity and difference in climatology, rates, and extremes. Journal of Hydrology, 594, 125975 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.125975 Published
2021 Yami, T. L., Gao, S., Chen, M., Li, Z., Vergara, H., Clark, R. R., … & Hong, Y. (2021). CREST/EF5 capacity building to enhance resilience to hydrodynamic disasters in emerging regions. African Journal of Environmental Science and Technology, 15(6), 230-242. https://doi.org/10.5897/AJEST2021.2989 Published
2021 Lala, J., Yang, M., Wang, G., & Block, P. (2021). Utilizing rainy season onset predictions to enhance maize yields in Ethiopia. Environmental Research Letters, 16(5), 054035. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abf9c9 Published
2021 Yang, M., Wang, G., Lazin, R., Shen, X. and Anagnostou, E., 2021. Impact of planting time soil moisture on cereal crop yield in the Upper Blue Nile Basin: A novel insight towards agricultural water management. Agricultural Water Management, 243, p.106430. [https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2020.106430] Published
2021 Lazin, R., Shen, X. and Anagnostou, E., 2021. Estimation of flood-damaged cropland area using a convolutional neural network. Environmental Research Letters, 16(5), p.054011 [https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abeba0] Published
2021 Khadim, F.K. Dokou, Z., Bagtzoglou, A.C., Yang, M., Lijalem, G.A. and Anagnostou, E., 2021. A numerical framework to advance agricultural water management under hydrological stress conditions in a data scarce environment. Agricultural Water Management. [https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2021.106947] Published
2021 Emmanouil, S., Philhower, J., Macdonald, S., Khadim, F.K., Yang, M., Atsbeha, E., Nagireddy, H., Roach, N., Holzer, E. and Anagnostou, E.N., 2021. A Comprehensive Approach to the Design of a Renewable Energy Microgrid for Rural Ethiopia: The Technical and Social Perspectives. MDPI Sustainability.
[https://doi.org/10.3390/su13073974]		 Published
2021 Lala, J., Yang, M., Wang, G., and Block, P. (2021). Utilizing rainy season onset predictions to enhance maize yields in Ethiopia. Environmental Research Letters, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/abf9c9 Published
2020 Khadim, F.K., Dokou, Z., Lazin, R., Moges, S., Bagtzoglou, A.C. and Anagnostou, E., 2020. Groundwater modeling in data scarce aquifers: the case of Gilgel-Abay, Upper Blue Nile, Ethiopia. Journal of Hydrology, 590, p.125214. Published
2020

Alexander, S., Atsbeha, E., Negatu, S., Kirksey, K., Brossard, D., Holzer, E., and Block, P. “Development of an interdisciplinary, multi-method approach to seasonal climate forecast communication at the local scale.” Climatic Change. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02845-9

 Published
2020

Lala, J., Tilahun, S., and Block, P.  Predicting rainy season onset in the Ethiopian Highlands for agricultural planning. Journal of Hydrometeorology. https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-20-0058.1

 Published
2020

Lazin, R., Shen, X., and Anagnostou, E.N. “Evaluation of the Hyper-Resolution Model-Derived Water Cycle Components over the Upper Blue Nile Basin”, Journal of Hydrology, DOI:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.125231 

 Published
2020 Yang, M., Wang, G., Lazin, R., Shen, X., and Anagnostou, E.N. “Impact of planting time soil moisture on cereal crop yield in the Upper Blue Nile Basin: a novel insight towards agricultural water management”, Agricultural Water Management, vol. 243(1),106430 DOI:10.1016/j.agwat.2020.106430.  Published
2019

Block, P., Wu, S., Zaitchik, B., Shukla, S., Blum, A., Alexander, S., & Zhang, Y. (2019, January). Uncovering a regime shift in Ethiopian highland summertime precipitation with implications for seasonal prediction. In Geophysical Research Abstracts (Vol. 21).

 Published
2019

Blum, A., B. Zaitchik, S. Alexander, S. Wu, Y. Zhang, S. Shukla, T. Yimanie Alemneh, and P. Block, 2019: A Grand Prediction: Communicating and evaluating 2018 summertime Upper Blue Nile rainfall and streamflow forecasts in preparation for Ethiopia’s new dam, Frontiers in Water, https://doi.org/10.3389/frwa.2019.00003

 Published
2019

Koukoula M., Nikolopoulos E.I, Dokou Z. and Anagnostou E.N. Evaluation of global water resources reanalysis products in the Upper Blue Nile River basin, Journal of Hydrometeorology

 Published
2019

Zhang, Y., You, L., Lee, D., & Block, P. (2019). Integrating climate prediction and regionalization into an agro-economic model to guide agricultural planning. Climatic Change, 1-17

 Published
2019 Alexander, S., Yang, G., Addisu, G., and Block, P. “Forecast-informed reservoir operations to guide hydropower and agriculture allocations in the Blue Nile basin, Ethiopia.” International Journal of Water Resources Development, 27. https://doi.org/10.1080/07900627.2020.1745159. Published
2018

Hasan, E., Tarhule, A., Kirstetter, P. E., Clark, R., & Hong, Y. (2018). Runoff sensitivity to climate change in the Nile River Basin. Journal of Hydrology, 561, 312-321. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2018.04.004

 Published
2018

Zhang Y., Moges S., and Block P. Does objective Cluster Analysis Serve as a Useful Precursor to Seasonal Precipitation Prediction at Local Scale? Application to Western Ethiopia. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 22, 143-157  http://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-143-2018

 Published
2018

Alexander, S., Wu, S., and Block P. Model selection based on sectoral application scale for increased value of hydroclimate prediction information.  Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)WR.1943-5452.0001044

 Published
2021 Alexander, S. and Block, P. “Integration of seasonal climate forecast information into local-level decision-making using an agent-based model to support community adaptation in the Blue Nile Basin, Ethiopia.” In Review
2019 Yang, M., G. Wang, K. F. Ahmed, B. Adugna, M. Eggen, E. Atsbeha , L. You, J. Koo, E. Anagnostou. 2019. Modelling the cereal crop yields in Ethiopia and its sensitivity to climate forcing, Agriculture and Forest Meteorology In Review
2021 Meijian Yang, et al., 2021: The long-term climate change impact on crop yield in Ethiopia. In Preparation
2021 Haider, M.R., Pena, M., and Anagnostou, E. Bias Correction of Mixed Distributions of Temperature with Strong Diurnal Signal. In Preparation
2021 Rehenuma Lazin, Xinyi Shen, Semu Moges, and Emmanouil Anagnostou. Future Climate Impacts on the Basin Hydrology, Droughts, and Hydropower Generation in the Upper Blue Nile Basin. In Preparation
2021 Fahad Khan Khadim. Comparing the physically based groundwater model findings with public perception on fair water sharing and water management in the irrigated communities of Ethiopia. In Preparation
2021 Fahad Khan Khadim. Impacts of climate change on hydrological dynamics of Lake Tana and the groundwater availability in the Tana basin. In Preparation
2021 Lala, J., You, L., and Block, P. Incorporating seasonality into an agro-economic model of Ethiopia In Preparation
2021 Alexander, S. and Block, P. “Integration of seasonal climate forecast information into local-level decision-making using an agent-based model to support community adaptation in the Blue Nile Basin, Ethiopia”. In Preparation
2021 Lala, J., Yang, M., Wang, G., and Block, P. The role of rainy season onset uncertainty on maize yields in Ethiopia. In Preparation
2020 Khadim, F., Dokou, Z., Yang, M., Wang, G., Bagtzoglou, A., and Anagnostou, E. Modeling the groundwater-vadose zone interactions for water-food security assessment in different irrigation and water management scenarios in Ethiopia In Preparation

 


Conference Presentations:

YEAR TITLE / AUTHOR EVENT
2021 Lazin, R., Shen, X., Moges, S. and Anagnostou, E.N., 2021, December. Impact of Climate Change on the Future Flood Risk in the Upper Blue Nile Basin.  American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting 2021. 
2021 Haider, M.R., Peña, M. and Anagnostou, E.N., 2021, December. Evaluating S2S Rainfall Forecast for Agricultural Action-plan in the Upper Blue Nile River Basin.  American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting 2021.
2021 Khadim, F.K., Dokou, Z., Lazin, R., Bagtzoglou, A.C. and Anagnostou, E.N., 2021, December. Groundwater modeling to assess climate change impacts in the data scarce aquifer of the Tana Basin, Upper Blue Nile, Ethiopia. American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting 2021.
2021 Haider, M.R., Pena, M., Atsbeha, E.A., and Anagnostou, E. Value Added Seasonal Forecasts for Food Security Applications in the Upper Blue Nile River Basin. NOAA’s 45th Climate Diagnostics & Prediction Workshop Special Issue, S&T Digest, May 2021.
2020 Rigler, G., Dokou, Z., Khadim, F. , Zhou,W. , Yami, T. , Moges, M. , Tilahun, S., Azage, M., Wang, X. , Li,B. , Bagtzoglou, A., Hong, Y. , Holzer, E. , Anagnostou, E. Citizen Science in the Upper Blue Nile Basin: Capturing the Hydrological Cycle and Catalyzing Community Participation. Poster Presentation, American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting 2020, Virtual.
2020 Alexander, S., and Block, P.  Integration of climate forecast information into local-level decision-making using an agent-based model to support community adaptation in the Blue Nile Basin, Ethiopia. Oral Presentation, American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting 2020, Virtual.
2020 Alexander, S. and Block, P. Integration of seasonal climate forecast information into local-level decision-making using an agent-based model to support community adaptation in the Blue Nile Basin, Ethiopia. Oral Presentation, American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting 2020, Virtual.
2020 Alexander, S., Brossard, D., Atsbeha, E., Negatu, S., Kirksey, K., Holzer, E. and Block, P. A Multi-method Approach to Seasonal Climate Forecast Communication. Poster Presentation, World Environmental and Water Resources Congress Annual Conference 2020, Henderson, N.V. [cancelled due to COVID pandemic]
2019 Haider, M.R., Pena, M., Lazin, R., Khadim, F.K., Yang, M., Dokou, Z., Nikolopoulos, E., Wang, G., and Anagnostou, E. Enabling Water and Agriculture Management in the Upper Blue Nile Basin through Numerical Seasonal Forecasts and High-Resolution Sectoral Models.  https://doi.org/10.25923/t4qa-ae63. NOAA’s 44th Climate Diagnostics & Prediction Workshop Special Issue, 22-24 October 2019
2019 Alexander, S., Brossard, D., Atsbeha, E., Negatu, S., Kirksey, K., Holzer, E. and Block, P. 2019. A Multi-method Approach to Seasonal Climate Forecast Communication. Oral Presentation, American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting 2019, San Francisco, C.A.
2019 Alexander, S., Brossard, D., Atsbeha, E., Negatu, S., Kirksey, K., Holzer, E. and Block, P. 2019. A Multi-method Approach to Seasonal Climate Forecast Communication.  Oral Presentation, American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting 2019, San Francisco, C.A.
2018 Alexander, S., Yang, G., and Block, P. Coupling Local-scale Hydroclimate Forecasts with a Multi-purpose Reservoir Model for Enhanced Management in the Blue Nile Basin, Ethiopia. Poster Presentation, American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting 2018, Washington, D.C., December 2018.
2018 Alexander, S., Block, P. Coupling Local-scale Hydroclimate Forecasts with Reservoir Operations. Oral Presentation, World Environmental and Water Resources Congress Annual Conference 2018, Minneapolis, MN, June 2018.
2018 Lazin R., Shen X., Koukoula M., Dokou Z., Nikolopoulos E., and Anagnostou E.N. Evaluation of Hyper-Resolution Model Derived Water Budget Components Over the Upper Blue Nile American Geophysical Union (AGU) Fall Meeting, Washington, D.C., USA, December 2018.
2018 Yang M., Wang G., Wu S., Eggen M., Lazin M., Haider M., Anagnostou E.N. Seasonal Prediction of Major Cereal Crop Yields in Ethiopia Using a Coupled Modeling Framework American Geophysical Union (AGU) Fall Meeting, Washington, D.C., USA, December 2018.
2018 Khadim F.K., Lazin R., Dokou Z., Bagtzoglou A., and Anagnostou E. Development of a Calibrated Groundwater Model in an In-situ Data Scarce Region of the Upper Blue Nile American Geophysical Union (AGU) Fall Meeting, Washington, D.C., USA, December 2018.
2018

Haider M.R., Peña M., Nikolopoulos E.I, Dokou Z. and Anagnostou E.N. Bias Correction of Precipitation and Temperature Forecasts for Blue Nile Water Resources Management

 American Geophysical Union (AGU) Fall Meeting, Washington, D.C., USA, December 2018.
2018

Koukoula M., Nikolopoulos E.I., Dokou Z., and Anagnostou E.N. Upper Blue Nile Water Budget Dynamics Derived from Multi-model Water Resource Reanalysis Products

 American Geophysical Union (AGU) Fall Meeting, Washington, D.C., USA, December 2018.
2018 Dokou Z., Khadim F.K., Zhou W., Flamig Z., Moges M., Tilahun S., Azage M., Moges S., Li B., Mellor J., Wang G., Bagtzoglou A., Hong Y., Anagnostou E. Citizen Science at the Source of the Blue Nile: Promoting Public Participation in Science for Ensuring Food and Water Security in Ethiopia American Geophysical Union (AGU) Fall Meeting, Washington, D.C., USA, December 2018.
2018

Shu Wu, Paul Block, Benjamin Zaitchik, Shraddhanand Shukla, Annalise Blum, Sarah Alexander, and Ying Zhang. Uncovering a regime shift in Ethiopian highland summertime precipitation with implications for seasonal prediction

 American Geophysical Union (AGU) Fall Meeting, Washington, D.C., USA, December 2018.
2018

Alexander, S. and Block, P. Coupling local-scale hydroclimate forecasts with multi-purpose reservoir models for enhanced water management in the Blue Nile Basin, Ethiopia

 American Geophysical Union (AGU) Fall Meeting, Washington, D.C., USA, December 2018.
2018 Dokou Z., Reljin N., Kheirabadi M., Bagtzoglou A., and Anagnostou E. Lake Level Estimation using Machine Learning and Physically-based Approaches in Lake Tana, Ethiopia 14th Symposium on Neural Networks and Applications, NEUREL November 2018.
2018

Zhang, Y., D. Lee, and P. Block: Integrating predictive information into an agro-economic model to guide agricultural planning.

World Environmental and Water Resources Congress (ASCE), Minneapolis, MN, June 2018
2018 Alexander, S. and Block P. Coupling local-scale hydroclimate forecasts with reservoir operations in the Blue Nile Basin, Ethiopia. World Environmental and Water Resources Congress (ASCE), Minneapolis, MN, May 2018.
2018 Koukoula M., Nikolopoulos E.I., Dokou Z., and Anagnostou E.N. Uncertainty in the Estimation of Water Budget from Reanalysis Products: Evaluation in Upper Blue Nile river basin. European Geophysical Union (EGU) Annual Meeting, Vienna, Austria, April 2018.
2017 Alexander, S., Wu, S., and Block, P. Development and Evaluation of Season-Ahead Precipitation Predictions for Sectoral Management in the Blue Nile Basin, Ethiopia. Poster Presentation, American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting 2017, New Orleans, L.A., December 2017.
2017 Alexander, S., Block, P., Erkyihun, S. Evaluation of Season-Ahead Precipitation Predictions at Various Scales: Koga Watershed, Blue Nile Basin, Ethiopia. Poster  Presentation, World Environmental and Water Resources Congress Annual Conference 2017, Sacramento, California, May 2017.
2017 Yang M., Wang G., Ahmed K.F., Eggen M., Adugna B., and Anagnostou E.N. Simulating and Predicting Cereal Crop Yields in Ethiopia: Model Calibration and Verification. American Geophysical Union (AGU) Fall Meeting, New Orleans, LA, December 2017.
2017 Alexander, S., Block P., and Erkyihun, S. Evaluation of season-ahead Precipitation Predictions at Various Scales: Koga Watershed, Blue Nile Basin, Ethiopia. World Environmental and Water Resources Congress (ASCE), Sacramento, CA, May 2017.
2017 Hasan E., Dokou Z., Kirstetter P-E., Tarhule A., Anagnostou E.N., Bagtzoglou A.C., and Hong Y. Assessing Lake Level Variability and Water Availability in Lake Tana, Ethiopia using a Groundwater Flow Model and GRACE Satellite Data. American Geophysical Union (AGU) Fall Meeting, New Orleans, LA, December 2017.
2017 Dokou Z., Kheirabadi M., Nikolopoulos E.I., Moges S., Bagtzoglou A.C., and Anagnostou E.N. Using Multi-year Reanalysis-derived Recharge Rates to Drive a Groundwater Model for the Lake Tana Region of Blue Nile Basin, Ethiopia. American Geophysical Union (AGU) Fall Meeting, New Orleans, LA, December 2017.
2017

Yang M., Wang G., Ahmed K.F., Eggen M., Adugna B., and Anagnostou E.N. Simulating and Predicting Cereal Crop Yields in Ethiopia: Model Calibration and Verification.

 American Geophysical Union (AGU) Fall Meeting, New Orleans, LA, December 2017.
2017 Koukoula M., Nikolopoulos E.I., Dokou Z., Moges S., Bagtzoglou A.C., and Anagnostou E.N. Evaluation of Water Cycle Components in the Upper Blue Nile Basin based on an Ensemble of Water Resources Reanalysis Products. 5th International Conference on Reanalysis (ICR5), Rome, Italy, November, 2017
2017 Zhang, Y. and Block P. Predicting Seasonal Precipitation and Integrating Predictive Information into an Agro-economic Model to Guide Agricultural Management.  World Environmental and Water Resources Congress (ASCE), Sacramento, CA, May 2017.
2017 Block, P. and Zhang Y. Integrating Predictive Information into an Agro-economic Model to Guide Agricultural Planning. European Geophysical Union (EGU) Annual Meeting, Vienna, Austria, April 2017.
2016

Zhang, Y. and Block P. Predicting Seasonal Precipitation and Integrating Predictive Information into an Agro-economic Model to Guide Agricultural Management.

 World Environmental and Water Resources Congress (ASCE), West Palm Beach, FL, May 2016.