Water and Food Security PIRE

Chance of Kiremt Start

Recent rainy days suggest that the onset of Kiremt has already occurred in early May. The calendar for Ginbot indicates the likelihood of Kiremt onset for each day. The colors correspond to the legend below. For example, the green color in Ginbot means that there is a very high chance of onset early in the month, with slightly lower chance at the end of the month.

The calendars show probability of the season starting, not expected amounts of rainfall. You can understand these probabilities like you think about the chance of a cow giving birth. For example, what is the chance that she will give birth at 8 months? Very low. What about 9 months? There is a good probability. What about 9 months and a few weeks? It is possible but not as likely.

Unlike last year, onset predictions for this year are pretty consistent. Most models predict onset in early May. – Learn More.

Chance of Kiremt start

Recent rainy days suggest that the onset of Kiremt has already occurred in early May. The calendar for Ginbot indicates the likelihood of Kiremt onset for each day. The colors correspond to the legend below. For example, the green color in Ginbot means that there is a very high chance of onset early in the month, with slightly lower chance at the end of the month.

The calendars show probability of the season starting, not expected amounts of rainfall. You can understand these probabilities like you think about the chance of a cow giving birth. For example, what is the chance that she will give birth at 8 months? Very low. What about 9 months? There is a good probability. What about 9 months and a few weeks? It is possible but not as likely.

Unlike last year, onset predictions for this year are pretty consistent. Most models predict onset in early May. – Learn More.

Chance of Kiremt start

Recent rainy days suggest that the onset of Kiremt has already occurred in early May. The calendar for Ginbot indicates the likelihood of Kiremt onset for each day. The colors correspond to the legend below. For example, the green color in Ginbot means that there is a very high chance of onset early in the month, with slightly lower chance at the end of the month.

The calendars show probability of the season starting, not expected amounts of rainfall. You can understand these probabilities like you think about the chance of a cow giving birth. For example, what is the chance that she will give birth at 8 months? Very low. What about 9 months? There is a good probability. What about 9 months and a few weeks? It is possible but not as likely.

Unlike last year, onset predictions for this year are pretty consistent. Most models predict onset in early May. – Learn More. 

Chance of Kiremt start

Recent rainy days suggest that the onset of Kiremt has already occurred in early May. The calendar for Ginbot indicates the likelihood of Kiremt onset for each day. The colors correspond to the legend below. For example, the green color in Ginbot means that there is a very high chance of onset early in the month, with slightly lower chance at the end of the month.

The calendars show probability of the season starting, not expected amounts of rainfall. You can understand these probabilities like you think about the chance of a cow giving birth. For example, what is the chance that she will give birth at 8 months? Very low. What about 9 months? There is a good probability. What about 9 months and a few weeks? It is possible but not as likely.

Unlike last year, onset predictions for this year are pretty consistent. Most models predict onset in early May. – Learn More.