Water and Food Security PIRE

The onset of Kiremt is not expected to be late, likely occurring in mid to late May. The calendars for Miyazya and Ginbot indicate the likelihood of Kiremt onset for each day.

The colors correspond to the legend below. For example, the white color in Miyazya means that there is a very low chance of onset most of the month, with slightly higher chance at the end of the month. The orange color in Ginbot means that there is a moderate chance of onset between the 7^th– 22^nd.

The calendars show probability of the season starting, not expected amounts of rainfall. You can understand these probabilities like you think about the chance of a cow giving birth. For example, what is the chance that she will give birth at 8 months? Very low. What about 9 months? There is a good probability. What about 9 months and a few weeks? It is possible but not as likely.

Unlike last year, onset predictions for this year are less certain. Most models predict early (end of April to mid-May) onset due to recent strong eastward-blowing winds in the Sahara. However, some models show that very high pressure over the Sahara may delay onset to late May. While it is less clear this year when onset will occur, it is not expected to be late, and likely to occur in May. – Learn More

The onset of Kiremt is not expected to be late, likely occurring in mid to late May. The calendars for Miyazya and Ginbot indicate the likelihood of Kiremt onset for each day. The colors correspond to the legend below. For example, the white color in Miyazya means that there is a very low chance of onset most of the month, with slightly higher chance at the end of the month. The orange color in Ginbot means that there is a moderate chance of onset between the 7^th– 22^nd.

The calendars show probability of the season starting, not expected amounts of rainfall. You can understand these probabilities like you think about the chance of a cow giving birth. For example, what is the chance that she will give birth at 8 months? Very low. What about 9 months? There is a good probability. What about 9 months and a few weeks? It is possible but not as likely.

Unlike last year, onset predictions for this year are less certain. Most models predict early (end of April to mid-May) onset due to recent strong eastward-blowing winds in the Sahara. However, some models show that very high pressure over the Sahara may delay onset to late May. While it is less clear this year when onset will occur, it is not expected to be late, and likely to occur in May. – Learn More

The onset of Kiremt is not expected to be late, likely occurring in mid to late May. The calendars for Miyazya and Ginbot indicate the likelihood of Kiremt onset for each day. The colors correspond to the legend below. For example, the white color in Miyazya means that there is a very low chance of onset most of the month, with slightly higher chance at the end of the month. The orange color in Ginbot means that there is a moderate chance of onset between the 7^th– 22^nd.

The calendars show probability of the season starting, not expected amounts of rainfall. You can understand these probabilities like you think about the chance of a cow giving birth. For example, what is the chance that she will give birth at 8 months? Very low. What about 9 months? There is a good probability. What about 9 months and a few weeks? It is possible but not as likely.

Unlike last year, onset predictions for this year are less certain. Most models predict early (end of April to mid-May) onset due to recent strong eastward-blowing winds in the Sahara. However, some models show that very high pressure over the Sahara may delay onset to late May. While it is less clear this year when onset will occur, it is not expected to be late, and likely to occur in May. – Learn More

The onset of Kiremt is not expected to be late, likely occurring in mid to late May. The calendars for Miyazya and Ginbot indicate the likelihood of Kiremt onset for each day. The colors correspond to the legend below. For example, the white color in Miyazya means that there is a very low chance of onset most of the month, with slightly higher chance at the end of the month. The orange color in Ginbot means that there is a moderate chance of onset between the 7^th– 22^nd.

The calendars show probability of the season starting, not expected amounts of rainfall. You can understand these probabilities like you think about the chance of a cow giving birth. For example, what is the chance that she will give birth at 8 months? Very low. What about 9 months? There is a good probability. What about 9 months and a few weeks? It is possible but not as likely.

Unlike last year, onset predictions for this year are less certain. Most models predict early (end of April to mid-May) onset due to recent strong eastward-blowing winds in the Sahara. However, some models show that very high pressure over the Sahara may delay onset to late May. While it is less clear this year when onset will occur, it is not expected to be late, and likely to occur in May. – Learn More